Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorSargeant, Andrew
dc.date.accessioned2016-08-24T15:38:10Z
dc.date.available2016-08-24T15:38:10Z
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10222/72105
dc.description.abstractFerry performance is influenced to a great degree by environmental factors. Adverse weather and ice conditions can severely restrict the ability to conduct operations in a safe, efficient, and financially viable manner. Furthermore, as regional conditions vary due to climate change influences, the effects may become more severe. In order to better understand how specific weather and ice factors influence ferry operations, a statistical analysis is conducted using a case study of historical Marine Atlantic Incorporated traffic data and historical weather and ice condition data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction North American Regional Reanalysis and Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature analysis. Random Forest models are constructed to predict ferry sailing cancellations and delays, using selected environmental factors as inputs, to examine the influence and relationships of specific factors and combinations of factors, and to project rates of cancellation in the coming decades using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 data sets. Results show that (1) environmental factors are good predictors of cancellations and poor predictors of delays, (2) wind speed is the most important environmental factor for cancellation prediction, and air temperature the most important for delay prediction, and, (3) that the ratio of cancelled sailings to total sailings is projected to increase over the next three decades.en_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.subjectferriesen_US
dc.subjectweatheren_US
dc.subjecticeen_US
dc.subjectenvironmental factorsen_US
dc.subjectrandom forestsen_US
dc.titleTHE INFLUENCE OF WEATHER AND ICE ON FERRY OPERATIONS: MODELLING PRESENT-DAY EFFECTS TO PREDICT FUTURE TRENDSen_US
dc.date.defence2016-07-27
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Industrial Engineeringen_US
dc.contributor.degreeMaster of Applied Scienceen_US
dc.contributor.external-examinern/aen_US
dc.contributor.graduate-coordinatorDr. Alireza Ghasemien_US
dc.contributor.thesis-readerDr. Claver Dialloen_US
dc.contributor.thesis-readerDr. Ahsan Habiben_US
dc.contributor.thesis-supervisorDr. Ronald Peloten_US
dc.contributor.thesis-supervisorDr. Alireza Ghasemien_US
dc.contributor.ethics-approvalNot Applicableen_US
dc.contributor.manuscriptsNot Applicableen_US
dc.contributor.copyright-releaseNot Applicableen_US
 Find Full text

Files in this item

Thumbnail

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record