Hedging the Return on Equity and Firm Profit: Evidence from Canadian Oil and Gas Companies

Abstract

In this thesis, we analyse the relationship between the hedging activities and return on equity, and the relationship between profit on hedging and other factors. Fully conditional specification is used to impute the missing values. Instrumental variable estimation and finite mixture of regression models are then used to predict the return on equity and hedging gain. We find the instrumental variable estimation is better than the OLS estimation to deal with the hedging data since it eliminates the endogeneity. By finite mixture of regression models, we show that different firms have different hedging strategies, which cause different profits in hedging. We also find the companies with large total assets prefer to hedge.