Staples, Mark2015-04-012015-04-012015-04-01http://hdl.handle.net/10222/56290The prevalence of obesity in Canada and other Western countries has increased dramatically over the last 30 years. This project modelled future prevalence of weight status trends under a Markov framework by estimating transition probabilities between categorical weight states. A microsimulation was developed to track individual weight status histories through discrete-time updates. Model and simulation parameters were derived from a nationally representative longitudinal survey which followed 17,000 participants over a 20 year period. A series of weight prevention and intervention strategies were simulated to determine their potential impact on weight status trends and population health utility.en-UShealthcaresimulationobesity