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Karl Popper’s organon and the world’s fisheries: fish stock assessment as a pseudoscience, an inductivism that can bear no fruit

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dc.contributor.author Corkett, Christopher
dc.date.accessioned 2010-01-20T19:31:36Z
dc.date.available 2010-01-20T19:31:36Z
dc.date.issued 2006
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10222/12423
dc.description.abstract Recent long term historical studies of commercial fisheries have pointed to a well established pattern of overfishing. Under the principle of transference – what is true in logic is true in psychology and scientific method – it can be demonstrated that many of the difficulties experienced in establishing sustainable fish stocks can be traced to a naïve attempt to reduce management decisions to facts or data; a monism or ‘scientific ethics’ in which modeled predictions derived from data mimic predictions in the physical sciences derived from dual premises (presented as a clerihew above). By applying Karl Popper’s Organon to the world wide problem of how to maintain sustainable stocks of fish I show that, just as a civil society is built upon rules of law, a rational decision making in the form of managing a fishery, has to be built upon rules of method. The demarcation criterion – the chief procedural rule of Karl Popper’s falsifiability calculus – forms the chief methodological rule of a rational based science; the application of this rule to the commercial fisheries demonstrates it is the irrational nature of the naïve empirical advice being proffered, and not the political decision-making, that ultimately has to be held responsible for the unhealthy state of the world’s fish stocks – it is the inductive methods deployed by fish stock assessment, not the politics, that needs the drastic overhaul. Keywords: Induction, Karl Popper, stock assessment, fisheries management en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries Paper presented to the International Institute of Fisheries Economics & Trade (IIFET): Rebuilding Fisheries in an Uncertain Environment. Portsmouth, UK, 11-14 July 2006.;
dc.subject Keywords: Induction, Karl Popper, stock assessment, fisheries management en_US
dc.title Karl Popper’s organon and the world’s fisheries: fish stock assessment as a pseudoscience, an inductivism that can bear no fruit en_US
dc.title.alternative Paper presented at the IIFET Conference, 2006. Portsmouth University en_US
dc.type Article en_US


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